[Gauntlet] Interest Rate Curve Recommendations in Stablecoin Comets (7/19/24)

Summary

Gauntlet recommends updating the interest rate curves for all stablecoin comets to lower the borrow APR at the kink from 9% to 6% to incentivize higher utilization.

Specification

Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
Annual Borrow Interest Rate Base .015 .015
Annual Borrow Interest Rate Slope Low .0833 .05
Borrow Kink .9 .9
Annual Borrow Interest Rate Slope High 4.3 4.0
Annual Supply Interest Rate Base 0 0
Annual Supply Interest Rate Slope Low .075 .052
Supply Kink .9 .9
Annual Supply Interest Rate Slope High 3.6 3.6

Analysis

Utilization in the stablecoin comets has decreased over the last two weeks. To address this, we recommend updating the interest rate curve to lower the borrow APR at the kink from 9% to 6%. This adjustment will help the market reach equilibrium at or slightly above the more efficient 90% kink. The recommended interest rate curve and implied reserve factor are shown below.

At the 90% kink, the Borrow APR is 6.00% and the Supply APR is 4.68%.

Below is a time series of the historical utilization in the Ethereum USDC comet, along with the projected utilization under the current curve based on the same borrow APR demand.

As seen, the recommended curve allows for the market to find equilibrium at utilizations closer to the 90% kink, thereby offering more appealing rates at higher utilization.

Next Steps

  • Target on-chain proposal 7/22/24
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Proposals for the IR Curve Recommendations has been submitted within both proposals 288 and 287.

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For proposal 287, our IR recommendations for the Arbitrum USDC Comet overlap with those from an earlier governance proposal 282. Due to this overlap, certain parameters will differ from our initial recommendations. However, this should not negatively impact users. Gauntlet supports the passage of the proposal, as it will still facilitate more efficient rates. Specifically, the Borrow APY kink will be 14 basis points lower than recommended, and the reserve factor will be reduced. We plan to address these IR value discrepancies in a future proposal.

Parameter Recommended Value Actual Value
Annual Borrow Interest Rate Base .015 .0136
Annual Supply Interest Rate Slope High 3.6 3.94
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