[Gauntlet] Risk Parameter Recommendations (02/2025)

[Gauntlet] Risk Parameter Recommendations (02/2025)

Simple Summary

Specification

Liquidation Penalty

Comet Asset Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
V3 Ethereum USDC/USDT/USDS WETH Liquidation Penalty 5% 7%
V3 Arbitrum USDC/USDT/USDC.e WETH Liquidation Penalty 5% 7%
V3 Optimism USDC/USDT WETH Liquidation Penalty 5% 7%
V3 Polygon USDC/USDT WETH Liquidation Penalty 5% 7%
V3 Ethereum USDC/USDS wstETH Liquidation Penalty 8% 10%
V3 Ethereum USDT wstETH Liquidation Penalty 5% 10%

Liquidation Factor

Comet Asset Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
V3 Ethereum USDT/USDC/USDS WETH Liquidation Factor 90% 88%
V3 Arbitrum USDC/USDT WETH Liquidation Factor 90% 88%
V3 Arbitrum USDC.e WETH Liquidation Factor 85% No Change
V3 Optimism USDC/USDT WETH Liquidation Factor 90% 88%
V3 Ethereum USDC/USDS wstETH Liquidation Factor 87% 85%
V3 Ethereum USDT wstETH Liquidation Factor 85% No Change

Collateral Factor

Comet Asset Parameter Current Value Recommended Value
V3 Ethereum USDC/USDT/USDS WETH Collateral Factor 83% No Change
V3 Arbitrum USDC WETH Collateral Factor 83% No Change
V3 Arbitrum USDT WETH Collateral Factor 85% 83%
V3 Arbitrum USDC.e WETH Collateral Factor 78% No Change
V3 Optimism USDC/USDT WETH Collateral Factor 83% No Change
V3 Ethereum USDC/USDS wstETH Collateral Factor 82% 80%
V3 Ethereum USDT wstETH Collateral Factor 80% No Change

Motivation

During the market downturn on February 3, 2025, WETH and wstETH collateral remained unsold for extended periods before being liquidated. A comprehensive and in-depth analysis is available here.

The charts below present the time series of WBTC and WETH collateral prices during key absorption and repayment events for V3 Ethereum USDC comet on Feb 3, 2025. Red vertical lines mark absorption events, while green vertical lines denote collateral purchases by liquidators. The width of each line represents the scale of the liquidation or repayment. The chart highlights that a significant WBTC position was absorbed and repaid predominantly within the same timestamp, whereas WETH absorptions were sometimes repaid over a span of several minutes.


Delayed absorptions also happened for wstETH as shown below.

Analysis

Liquidity Sources

The following table summarizes some liquidity sources for WETH across various decentralized exchanges (DEXs) on Ethereum:

pool_name pool_type pool_url pool_tvl_usd volume_24h_usd
WETH / USDC 0.05% uniswap_v3 Link $195.08M $109.78M
WBTC / WETH 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $104.78M $1.83M
WETH / USDT 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $93.38M $4.97M
WETH / USDT uniswap_v2 Link $48.24M $980.53K
USDC / WETH 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $47.94M $5.00M
WETH / USDT 0.05% uniswap_v3 Link $34.86M $36.99M
WETH / USDT 0.01% uniswap_v3 Link $6.54M $58.04M
USDC / WETH 0.01% uniswap_v3 Link $4.55M $53.24M

The following table summarizes some liquidity sources for wstETH across various decentralized exchanges (DEXs) on Ethereum:

pool_name pool_type pool_url pool_tvl_usd volume_24h_usd
wstETH / wstETH-WETH-BPT / WETH 0.01% balancer_ethereum Link $34.51M $7.54M
wstETH / WETH 0.01% uniswap_v3 Link $14.40M $2.62M
wstETH-rETH-sfrxETH-BPT / wstETH / sfrxETH / rETH 0.01% balancer_ethereum Link $7.61M $0.00

Volatility Analysis

WETH → USDC

Metric Value
Min Price Change Log -10.62%
Max Price Change Log 13.43%
Annualized Daily Log Volatility 66.92%
Annualized 30D Log Volatility 64.95%

wstETH → USDC

Metric Value
Min Price Change Log -10.66%
Max Price Change Log 13.47%
Annualized Daily Log Volatility 67.01%
Annualized 30D Log Volatility 64.95%

Recommendations

Liquidation Penalty

Gauntlet recommends setting the Liquidation Penalty (LP) for WETH at 7% in the Ethereum USDC/USDT/USDS Comet. To ensure alignment, we also recommend the same LP for WETH in the Arbitrum USDC/USDT/USDC.e Comet, Optimism USDC/USDT Comet, and Polygon USDC/USDT Comet.

Additionally, we recommend setting the LP for wstETH at 10% for the Ethereum USDT Comet.

Collateral Factor & Liquidation Factor

As mentioned here, we advise that Compound introduce a strategic buffer between its Liquidation Penalty (LP) and Liquidation Factor (LF). This buffer not only safeguards users from sudden penalties but also contributes to a more robust risk management framework for Compound.

Gauntlet recommends setting the Liquidation Factor (LF) for WETH at 88% and the Collateral Factor (CF) at 83% in the Ethereum USDC/USDT/USDS Comet. To maintain consistency, we also recommend applying the same LF for WETH in the Arbitrum USDC/USDT Comet and Optimism USDC/USDT Comet.

Furthermore, we recommend setting the LF for wstETH at 85% and the CF at 80% in the Ethereum USDC/USDS Comets.

Next Steps

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