[Gauntlet] Risk Parameter Recommendations for LINK and UNI (Oct 2024)

Simple Summary

Gauntlet recommends the following risk recommendations to the protocol:

  • Decrease USDC Ethereum Comet’s LINK Supply Cap from 4,000,000 to 1,000,000
  • Decrease USDT Ethereum Comet’s LINK Supply Cap from 2,000,000 to 500,000
  • Decrease USDT Ethereum Comet’s UNI Supply Cap from 3,000,000 to 1,300,000

  • Decrease USDC Ethereum Comet’s LINK Liquidation Factor from 85% to 79%
  • Decrease USDC Ethereum Comet’s LINK Collateral Factor from 79% to 73%
  • Increase USDC Ethereum Comet’s LINK Liquidation Penalty from 7% to 17%

  • Decrease USDT Ethereum Comet’s LINK Liquidation Factor from 85% to 79%
  • Decrease USDT Ethereum Comet’s LINK Collateral Factor from 79% to 73%
  • Increase USDT Ethereum Comet’s LINK Liquidation Penalty from 7% to 17%

  • Decrease USDC Ethereum Comet’s UNI Liquidation Factor from 79% to 74%
  • Decrease USDC Ethereum Comet’s UNI Collateral Factor from 73% to 68%

  • Decrease USDT Ethereum Comet’s UNI Liquidation Factor from 81% to 74%
  • Decrease USDT Ethereum Comet’s UNI Collateral Factor from 75% to 68%
  • Increase USDT Ethereum Comet’s UNI LP from 15% to 17%

Gauntlet will closely monitor the utilization of those assets and make adjustment suggestions timely.

Motivation

Please review the daily utilization of supply cap for the following collateral assets. Their utilizations have stayed low for a while.

USDC Ethereum Comet - LINK

Screenshot 2024-10-07 at 6.30.28 PM

USDT Ethereum Comet - LINK

Screenshot 2024-10-07 at 6.32.21 PM

USDT Ethereum Comet - UNI

Screenshot 2024-10-07 at 6.33.51 PM

Analysis

LINK DEX Liquidity Sources

pool_name pool_type pool_url pool_tvl_usd volume_24h_usd
LINK / WETH 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $22.39M $3.89M
stLINK / LINK curve Link $2.59M $11.03K
LINK / WETH uniswap_v2 Link $1.56M $60.66K
LINK / WETH sushiswap Link $1.38M $15.83K
LINK / USDC 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $771.39K $76.12K
SDL / LINK 1% uniswap_v3 Link $276.28K $42.76
LINK / WETH 0.27% balancer_ethereum Link $247.44K $773.32
LINK / WETH defi_swap Link $125.65K $380.83

UNI DEX Liquidity Sources

pool_name pool_type pool_url pool_tvl_usd volume_24h_usd
UNI / WETH 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $26.49M $3.33M
UNI / WETH uniswap_v2 Link $4.11M $136.24K
AAVE / UNI 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $3.55M $465.04K
UNI / WBTC 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $328.97K $23.37K
UNI / WETH sushiswap Link $280.50K $13.36K
UNI / WETH 1% uniswap_v3 Link $202.71K $10.07K
UNI / SUSHI 0.3% uniswap_v3 Link $194.47K $12.31K
UNI / SUSHI 1% uniswap_v3 Link $191.00K $7.99K
1INCH / UNI 1% uniswap_v3 Link $132.22K $3.07K

LINK Volatility Analysis

LINK → USDC

Metric Value
Min Price Change Log -14.62%
Max Price Change Log 12.39%
Annualized Daily Log Volatility 66.05%
30D Log Volatility 77.91%

UNI → USDC

Metric Value
Min Price Change Log -14.58%
Max Price Change Log 19.92%
Annualized Daily Log Volatility 85.85%
30D Log Volatility 87.27%

LINK Slippage

UNI Slippage

Analysis

Risk-off Liquidations

USDC Ethereum Comet

The recommended Collateral Factor decreases would not currently cause new liquidatable user positions.

The table below shows all positions > $5k borrows whose Health Factors are less than 1.17 (Borrow Usage greater than 85%) and become > 5% closer to becoming liquidatable after the Collateral Factor decreases.

User Address Total Supply Balance (USD) Total Borrow Balance (USD) Initial Borrow Usage New Borrow Usage Initial Health Factor New Health Factor % Closer to Liquidation
228 0x357dfdc34f93388059d2eb09996d80f233037cba $758.5k $477.4k 79.67% 85.05% 1.255 1.176 26.46%
464 0x78cfacc715c5e0bc3f69428472d93d18a32c246d $294.1k $207.6k 83.03% 89.33% 1.204 1.119 37.12%
563 0xade24c128a7502f99a2786f3e18c67b0c6f15739 $184.4k $135.7k 86.59% 93.17% 1.155 1.073 49.07%
741 0x9b2741183c1c4caada1f5cbc068b8d524af8d6c2 $111.4k $75.5k 79.73% 85.79% 1.254 1.166 29.9%
1376 0xe3198ec66b32a1eb5cffdca4cc9e61e2a77ef2f8 $19.8k $14.1k 83.82% 90.19% 1.193 1.109 39.37%
1383 0xf2f0b05676d1de3920401bb9639ae260fdffc09f $17.9k $13.5k 89.01% 95.77% 1.123 1.044 61.51%
1405 0xfc2ff276aa5efbdc0928634a967f8bba171fce91 $17.7k $12.7k 84.45% 90.86% 1.184 1.101 41.22%

In total, these positions have $936k borrows.

USDT Ethereum Comet

The recommended Collateral Factor decreases would not currently cause new liquidatable user positions.

The table below shows all positions > $5k borrows whose Health Factors are less than 1.17 (Borrow Usage greater than 85%) and become > 5% closer to becoming liquidatable after the Collateral Factor decreases.

User Address Total Supply Balance (USD) Total Borrow Balance (USD) Initial Borrow Usage New Borrow Usage Initial Health Factor New Health Factor % Closer to Liquidation
96 0xf1d17ad375ab50ef2d3638ba1e1ccb6f284edb33 $250.1k $182.9k 84.44% 85.24% 1.184 1.173 5.14%

In total, these positions have $182k borrows.

Next Steps

  • Welcome feedback from the community
  • Post recommendations to on-chain proposal
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